Quick Election Forensics: When Did Forecasts For 2020 White House Race Become Problematic?

Forecasters correctly predicted that Joe Biden will win, but vastly underestimated the strength of support for Donald Trump. A quick post-mortem suggests that the polls and forecasts became too bullish after August 31.

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1. TURNING POINT: AUG 31 2O2O

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Chart by: Chua Chin Hon

2. FUELLING UNREALISTIC EXPECTATIONS?

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Chart by: Chua Chin Hon

3. LOOKING AHEAD

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Data Science | Media | Politics

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